Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.037409 0.042367 0.047871 0.054458 0.062156 0.070907 0.081658
2024-10-27 0.028887 0.035239 0.042951 0.053102 0.066252 0.082914 0.105941
2024-11-03 0.025099 0.032227 0.041439 0.054420 0.072566 0.097531 0.135378
2024-11-10 0.022524 0.030110 0.040417 0.055765 0.078615 0.112331 0.167742
2024-11-17 0.020167 0.027854 0.038728 0.055684 0.082304 0.124022 0.197643
2024-11-24 0.018088 0.025675 0.036782 0.054795 0.084409 0.133360 0.225483
2024-12-01 0.016697 0.024309 0.035818 0.055189 0.088480 0.146440 0.262729
2024-12-08 0.015452 0.023011 0.034771 0.055241 0.091879 0.158822 0.301541
2024-12-15 0.014465 0.022000 0.034043 0.055684 0.095954 0.173076 0.347704
2024-12-22 0.013123 0.020286 0.031974 0.053511 0.094840 0.177028 0.372488
2024-12-29 0.012756 0.020130 0.032489 0.056005 0.102978 0.201148 0.450532
2025-01-05 0.011649 0.018632 0.030540 0.053682 0.101156 0.203745 0.476389
2025-01-12 0.010801 0.017565 0.029350 0.052869 0.102767 0.215296 0.532406
2025-01-19 0.009944 0.016421 0.027935 0.051487 0.103070 0.224248 0.585778
2025-01-26 0.009530 0.016025 0.027847 0.052755 0.109437 0.249409 0.697811
2025-02-02 0.009157 0.015665 0.027782 0.054050 0.116107 0.277120 0.831477
2025-02-09 0.008662 0.015033 0.027122 0.053972 0.119468 0.296862 0.947935
2025-02-16 0.008131 0.014288 0.026168 0.053115 0.120738 0.311069 1.051548
2025-02-23 0.007773 0.013847 0.025781 0.053495 0.125275 0.336273 1.214183
2025-03-02 0.007413 0.013374 0.025282 0.053545 0.128953 0.359952 1.385759
2025-03-09 0.007116 0.013001 0.024959 0.053972 0.133766 0.388877 1.602517
2025-03-16 0.006628 0.012207 0.023668 0.051878 0.131018 0.391277 1.688058
2025-03-23 0.006543 0.012231 0.024152 0.054281 0.141985 0.446181 2.103147